friction in Obama's refi proposal
"The response to President Obama's recent proposal to refinance more borrowers into lower interest rate mortgages was at best underwhelming and at worst scathing. The plan would expand the government's so-far disappointing, Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP), which helps current but underwater borrowers with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac loans to refinance. 'Mr. President, the housing market is the foundation of the US economy. It is cracked and chipping away,' writes Florida real estate consultant Jack McCabe in an editorial in the Herald-Tribune. 'The walls are beginning to cave. Your answer, anecdotally, seems to be put a new roof on it.' McCabe is calling for principal write-down for troubled mortgages, not refinances for borrowers who are current on their monthly payments. The argument so far against principal write-down is that it would cost banks and investors (including Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac) too much.
Unfortunately the plan, which could allow borrowers with more than 25% in negative equity to refinance, is being deemed too costly as well. While the Congressional Budget Office estimated it would cost investors in the original mortgages between $13
and $15 billion (while potentially saving 111,000 borrowers from defaulting), analysts at JP Morgan Chase say it would cost more: If such a policy were successful on a large scale, it would clearly devalue higher coupons, and would threaten lower coupons
with incremental gross supply. A more modest HARP overhaul, while less disruptive, still forces investors to require more conservative valuations until details emerge.
All these arguments, however, may be moot, as the overseer of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), which would have to approve the refinance effort, is sounding wildly cautious. In a statement following the President's speech, Director Ed DeMarco states, 'If there are frictions associated with the origination of HARP loans that can be eased while still achieving the program's intent of assisting borrowers and reducing credit risk for the Enterprises, we will seek to do so.' He goes on to say, however, that there are 'several challenging issues to work through,' and then he uses the word 'uncertain' twice in characterizing any outcome. While DeMarco doesn't detail said 'frictions,' they are vast and not limited to investor cost. First of all, too many borrowers probably still wouldn't qualify if they just did away with the loan to value ratio of 125%. Of the 838,400 HARP refinancings done so far, only 62,432 had LTVs above 105%, according to Jaret Seiberg at MF Global. 'We believe lenders are reluctant to HARP a loan if they fear the borrower is so underwater that they might default anyway,' writes Seiberg. Then there are issues of loan origination dates, put-backs on loans that default and borrower qualifications. Frictions. Beyond the friction, however, is the simple fact that a refinance program, while potentially an economic stimulus, is not a housing stimulus and shouldn't be characterized as such. The HARP program is and always was for current borrowers and does nothing to address the millions of non-current borrowers, bank-owned foreclosed homes and falling home prices."
Showing posts with label owner financing. Show all posts
Showing posts with label owner financing. Show all posts
Wednesday, September 14, 2011
Wednesday, September 7, 2011
US to sue banks
The Federal Housing Finance Agency, which oversees the mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, is set to file suits against more than a dozen big banks, accusing them f misrepresenting the quality of mortgage securities they assembled and sold at the height of the housing bubble, and seeking billions of dollars in compensation.
The Federal Housing Finance Agency suits, which are expected to be filed in the coming days in federal court, are aimed at Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank, among others. The suits will argue the banks, which assembled the mortgages and marketed them as securities to investors, failed to perform the due diligence required under securities law and missed evidence that borrowers’ incomes were inflated or falsified. When many borrowers were unable to pay their mortgages, the securities backed by the mortgages quickly lost value. Fannie and Freddie lost more than $30 billion, in part as a result of the deals, losses that were borne mostly by taxpayers. In July, the agency filed suit against UBS, another major mortgage securitizer, seeking to recover at least $900 million, and the individuals with knowledge of the case said the new litigation would be similar in scope.
The Federal Housing Finance Agency, which oversees the mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, is set to file suits against more than a dozen big banks, accusing them f misrepresenting the quality of mortgage securities they assembled and sold at the height of the housing bubble, and seeking billions of dollars in compensation.
The Federal Housing Finance Agency suits, which are expected to be filed in the coming days in federal court, are aimed at Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank, among others. The suits will argue the banks, which assembled the mortgages and marketed them as securities to investors, failed to perform the due diligence required under securities law and missed evidence that borrowers’ incomes were inflated or falsified. When many borrowers were unable to pay their mortgages, the securities backed by the mortgages quickly lost value. Fannie and Freddie lost more than $30 billion, in part as a result of the deals, losses that were borne mostly by taxpayers. In July, the agency filed suit against UBS, another major mortgage securitizer, seeking to recover at least $900 million, and the individuals with knowledge of the case said the new litigation would be similar in scope.
Wednesday, August 24, 2011
Delinquencies Rise, Foreclosures Fall in Latest MBA Mortgage
The delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit residential properties increased to a seasonally adjusted rate of 8.44 percent of all loans outstanding as of the end of the second quarter of 2011, an increase of 12 basis points from the first
quarter of 2011, and a decrease of 141 basis points from one year ago, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) National Delinquency Survey. The non-seasonally adjusted delinquency rate increased 32 basis points to 8.11 percent this
quarter from 7.79 percent last quarter. The percentage of loans on which foreclosure actions were started during the second quarter was 0.96 percent, down 12 basis points from last quarter and down 15 basis points from one year ago.
The delinquency rate includes loans that are at least one payment past due but does not include loans in the process of foreclosure. The percentage of loans in the foreclosure process at the end of the second quarter was 4.43 percent, down 9 basis
points from the first quarter and 14 basis points lower than one year ago. The serious delinquency rate, the percentage of loans that are 90 days or more past due or in the process of foreclosure, was 7.85 percent, a decrease of 25 basis points from last quarter, and a decrease of 126 basis points from the second quarter of last year. The combined percentage of loans in foreclosure or at least one payment past due was 12.54 percent on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, a 23 basis point increase from last quarter, but was 143 basis points lower than a year ago.
Mortgage delinquencies are no longer improving and are now showing some signs of worsening," said Jay Brinkmann, MBA's Chief Economist. Foreclosure inventory rates also fell, to their lowest level since the third quarter of 2010. While some have
argued that this drop in foreclosures is a temporary drop which does not reflect the problems yet to come, this does not appear to be the case, at least at the national level.
The delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit residential properties increased to a seasonally adjusted rate of 8.44 percent of all loans outstanding as of the end of the second quarter of 2011, an increase of 12 basis points from the first
quarter of 2011, and a decrease of 141 basis points from one year ago, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) National Delinquency Survey. The non-seasonally adjusted delinquency rate increased 32 basis points to 8.11 percent this
quarter from 7.79 percent last quarter. The percentage of loans on which foreclosure actions were started during the second quarter was 0.96 percent, down 12 basis points from last quarter and down 15 basis points from one year ago.
The delinquency rate includes loans that are at least one payment past due but does not include loans in the process of foreclosure. The percentage of loans in the foreclosure process at the end of the second quarter was 4.43 percent, down 9 basis
points from the first quarter and 14 basis points lower than one year ago. The serious delinquency rate, the percentage of loans that are 90 days or more past due or in the process of foreclosure, was 7.85 percent, a decrease of 25 basis points from last quarter, and a decrease of 126 basis points from the second quarter of last year. The combined percentage of loans in foreclosure or at least one payment past due was 12.54 percent on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, a 23 basis point increase from last quarter, but was 143 basis points lower than a year ago.
Mortgage delinquencies are no longer improving and are now showing some signs of worsening," said Jay Brinkmann, MBA's Chief Economist. Foreclosure inventory rates also fell, to their lowest level since the third quarter of 2010. While some have
argued that this drop in foreclosures is a temporary drop which does not reflect the problems yet to come, this does not appear to be the case, at least at the national level.
Tuesday, August 23, 2011
Shadow inventory improves but still threatens housing recovery
Despite all those millions of distressed properties out on sale, depressing home prices even further, there is one glimmer of hope according Standard & Poor. According to the report the time it would take for banks to purge all of this so-called "shadow inventory" from the market (through foreclosure sales, mortgage modifications and other measures) shrunk to 47 months during the second quarter, a significant drop from the 52 months it estimated for the first quarter of this year. The report also found that the total dollar value of the loans on these properties -- known as non-agency loans because they are not backed by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac or the Federal Housing Administration -- also fell to $405 billion at the end of June from $433 billion three months earlier. S&P said the decline was helped by stabilizing liquidation rates and by fewer borrowers falling behind on their mortgage payments as the economy slowly recovered during the quarter.
S&P estimates that there are still a total of between 4 million and 5 million homes, including those with agency-backed loans, in shadow inventory, an amount that continues to jeopardize the housing market's recovery. Nevertheless, Fannie and Freddie are looking to rid themselves of a large percentage the shadow inventory they do have -- and quickly. Earlier this month, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), the Treasury Department and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development were
seeking suggestions on how to dispose all the repossessed homes now owned by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Federal Housing Administration in a way that would benefit local communities.
Despite all those millions of distressed properties out on sale, depressing home prices even further, there is one glimmer of hope according Standard & Poor. According to the report the time it would take for banks to purge all of this so-called "shadow inventory" from the market (through foreclosure sales, mortgage modifications and other measures) shrunk to 47 months during the second quarter, a significant drop from the 52 months it estimated for the first quarter of this year. The report also found that the total dollar value of the loans on these properties -- known as non-agency loans because they are not backed by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac or the Federal Housing Administration -- also fell to $405 billion at the end of June from $433 billion three months earlier. S&P said the decline was helped by stabilizing liquidation rates and by fewer borrowers falling behind on their mortgage payments as the economy slowly recovered during the quarter.
S&P estimates that there are still a total of between 4 million and 5 million homes, including those with agency-backed loans, in shadow inventory, an amount that continues to jeopardize the housing market's recovery. Nevertheless, Fannie and Freddie are looking to rid themselves of a large percentage the shadow inventory they do have -- and quickly. Earlier this month, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), the Treasury Department and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development were
seeking suggestions on how to dispose all the repossessed homes now owned by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Federal Housing Administration in a way that would benefit local communities.
Thursday, July 7, 2011
Retailers have strong June sales
American consumers that were enticed by warmer weather and deep discounts of up to 80% on summer merchandise went on a buying binge in June, helping many retailers deliver robust revenue gains for what is typically the second-biggest shopping month of the year. Big merchants Target Corp., Costco Wholesale Corp., Limited Brands Inc. as well as teen retailers such as The Buckle were among the companies that posted June results that beat Wall Street estimates. The few stragglers included Destination Maternity Corp. and Bon Ton Stores, which reported declines. The figures are based on revenue at stores opened at least a year. This measure is considered a key indicator of a retailer's health because it excludes results from stores opened or closed during the year. June is the second most important month on a retailers' sales calendar behind December. During the month, stores typically clear out summer merchandise to make room for fall goods. But this time, it took deep discounts of up to 80% to get shoppers to buy amid worries about the economy.
Analysts fear that retailers have not quite turned a corner. After all, gas prices are still 35% higher than last year at this time. Moreover, prices in the food aisle remain high and this fall, shoppers will be seeing the price tags of fashion and accessories rise as retailers try to offset higher labor costs in China and soaring prices of raw materials like cotton. Shoppers' biggest concerns remain a weak job recovery and stagnant wages. These worries sent consumer confidence to a seven-year low in June, according to the Conference Board's survey released last
week. In fact, consumer confidence has never been this low in the 24th month of a recovery, according to David A. Rosenberg, chief economist and investment strategist at the Toronto-based money management firm Gluskin Sheff. Historically at the two-year mark, confidence is at 94, not 58.5, which was recorded by The Conference Board's June survey.
American consumers that were enticed by warmer weather and deep discounts of up to 80% on summer merchandise went on a buying binge in June, helping many retailers deliver robust revenue gains for what is typically the second-biggest shopping month of the year. Big merchants Target Corp., Costco Wholesale Corp., Limited Brands Inc. as well as teen retailers such as The Buckle were among the companies that posted June results that beat Wall Street estimates. The few stragglers included Destination Maternity Corp. and Bon Ton Stores, which reported declines. The figures are based on revenue at stores opened at least a year. This measure is considered a key indicator of a retailer's health because it excludes results from stores opened or closed during the year. June is the second most important month on a retailers' sales calendar behind December. During the month, stores typically clear out summer merchandise to make room for fall goods. But this time, it took deep discounts of up to 80% to get shoppers to buy amid worries about the economy.
Analysts fear that retailers have not quite turned a corner. After all, gas prices are still 35% higher than last year at this time. Moreover, prices in the food aisle remain high and this fall, shoppers will be seeing the price tags of fashion and accessories rise as retailers try to offset higher labor costs in China and soaring prices of raw materials like cotton. Shoppers' biggest concerns remain a weak job recovery and stagnant wages. These worries sent consumer confidence to a seven-year low in June, according to the Conference Board's survey released last
week. In fact, consumer confidence has never been this low in the 24th month of a recovery, according to David A. Rosenberg, chief economist and investment strategist at the Toronto-based money management firm Gluskin Sheff. Historically at the two-year mark, confidence is at 94, not 58.5, which was recorded by The Conference Board's June survey.
Wednesday, July 6, 2011
Wells Fargo modification outnumber Obama's 5 to 1
Wells Fargo completed or started trials on roughly 585,000 mortgage modifications through its private programs since the beginning of 2009, more than five times the 101,000 initiated through the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP). HAMP launched in March 2009 but almost immediately drew criticism. Treasury officials admit the more than 3 million modifications initially promised was over estimated. Through May, servicers started roughly 731,000 permanent loan modifications and have been averaging between 25,000 and 30,000 per month this year. According to a recent poll of housing counselors, only 9% of borrowers who entered the program described it as a "positive" experience. Homeowners continually blame servicers for mishandling documentation. Overwhelmed servicers point out many borrowers are simply out of reach. "Avoiding foreclosure is a top priority for us and when customers work with us, we can help seven of every 10 to stay out of foreclosure," said Teri Schrettenbrunner, senior vice president, Wells Fargo Home Mortgage.
The Treasury points out most of the private programs built since the foreclosure crisis use HAMP as a model. But since mishandled foreclosure and modification processes came to light late last year, new standards were put in place, including a single point of contact that servicers are required to provide throughout the loss-mitigation process. The Treasury began to clamp down on poorly performing servicers — at least to the extent their contracts with these firms allow. In June, the Treasury announced it was withholding HAMP payments from Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase and Wells. Schrettenbrunner said the bank continues to build on its primary contact model it established last summer, and the bank has met with 58,000 borrowers at 31 home preservation workshops. Half of those received a decision on the spot or shortly after the event. Schrettenbrunner said the department continues to "aggressively reach out" to borrowers behind on payments to bridge the communication gap as quickly as possible. "We also continue to aggressively reach out to customers 60 or more days behind on their home loans via mail and telephone in an effort to engage them," Schrettenbrunner said.
Wells Fargo completed or started trials on roughly 585,000 mortgage modifications through its private programs since the beginning of 2009, more than five times the 101,000 initiated through the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP). HAMP launched in March 2009 but almost immediately drew criticism. Treasury officials admit the more than 3 million modifications initially promised was over estimated. Through May, servicers started roughly 731,000 permanent loan modifications and have been averaging between 25,000 and 30,000 per month this year. According to a recent poll of housing counselors, only 9% of borrowers who entered the program described it as a "positive" experience. Homeowners continually blame servicers for mishandling documentation. Overwhelmed servicers point out many borrowers are simply out of reach. "Avoiding foreclosure is a top priority for us and when customers work with us, we can help seven of every 10 to stay out of foreclosure," said Teri Schrettenbrunner, senior vice president, Wells Fargo Home Mortgage.
The Treasury points out most of the private programs built since the foreclosure crisis use HAMP as a model. But since mishandled foreclosure and modification processes came to light late last year, new standards were put in place, including a single point of contact that servicers are required to provide throughout the loss-mitigation process. The Treasury began to clamp down on poorly performing servicers — at least to the extent their contracts with these firms allow. In June, the Treasury announced it was withholding HAMP payments from Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase and Wells. Schrettenbrunner said the bank continues to build on its primary contact model it established last summer, and the bank has met with 58,000 borrowers at 31 home preservation workshops. Half of those received a decision on the spot or shortly after the event. Schrettenbrunner said the department continues to "aggressively reach out" to borrowers behind on payments to bridge the communication gap as quickly as possible. "We also continue to aggressively reach out to customers 60 or more days behind on their home loans via mail and telephone in an effort to engage them," Schrettenbrunner said.
Wednesday, June 29, 2011
NAR - existing home sales decline
According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), Existing-home sales, (completed transactions that include single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops), fell 3.8% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.81 million in May from a downwardly revised 5.00 million in April, and are 15.3% below a 5.68 million pace in May 2010 when sales were surging to beat the deadline for the home buyer tax credit. There were notable regional differences in home sales. “A large decline in Midwestern existing-home sales can be attributed partly to the flooding and other severe weather patterns that occurred, but this also implies a temporary nature of soft market activity,” Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, explained.
The national median existing-home price for all housing types was $166,500 in May, down 4.6% from May 2010. Distressed homes3 – typically sold at a discount of about 20% – accounted for 31% of sales in May, down from 37% in April; they were 31% in May 2010. NAR President Ron Phipps, broker-president of Phipps Realty in Warwick, R.I., said a number of proposals being considered in Washington could further jeopardize the housing recovery. “We’re concerned about the flow of available capital, including a possible rule that would effectively raise minimum downpayment requirements to 20%,” he said. “We don’t need to throw the baby out with the bath water – increasing downpayment requirements would effectively shut many qualified families out of the market. What we critically need is a return to the basics of providing safe mortgages to creditworthy buyers willing to stay well within their budget.”
The national median existing-home price for all housing types was $166,500 in May, down 4.6% from May 2010. Distressed homes3 – typically sold at a discount of about 20% – accounted for 31% of sales in May, down from 37% in April; they were 31% in May 2010. NAR President Ron Phipps, broker-president of Phipps Realty in Warwick, R.I., said a number of proposals being considered in Washington could further jeopardize the housing recovery. “We’re concerned about the flow of available capital, including a possible rule that would effectively raise minimum downpayment requirements to 20%,” he said. “We don’t need to throw the baby out with the bath water – increasing downpayment requirements would effectively shut many qualified families out of the market. What we critically need is a return to the basics of providing safe mortgages to creditworthy buyers willing to stay well within their budget.”
Tuesday, June 21, 2011
Lenders make short sales even more attractive
CitiMortgage, the mortgage servicing arm of Citigroup is paying borrowers an average $12,000 after completing a short sale this year. Justin Rand, the senior vice president of loss mitigation at the bank, said servicers are putting more of an emphasis on streamlining the process and pursuing a short sale ahead of foreclosure. The short sale process in 2009 took an average 120 days from listing to close. But by reaching out to borrowers instead of waiting for them to ask the bank, short sales now take an average 83 days to complete, Rand said at a panel for the REO Expo Conference in Fort Worth, Texas, earlier this week. "For Citi-held portfolio loans today, we have a little over 16% of delinquent loans in a short sale program," Rand said, adding that increased from roughly 4% two years ago.
Not only are the timelines shrinking to complete these deals, but the incentives paid to qualifying borrowers – again only on loans owned by Citi – increased in recent years as well. In early 2009, Citi offered an average $1,500 to qualifying borrowers. That went up to between $3,000 and $5,000 in 2010 and finally up to an average $12,000 so far in 2011, Rand said. "Incentives will be offered to customers experiencing financial hardship who need funds to proceed with the short sale," a Citi spokesman said. "The amount, which is agreed upon up front, varies according to the borrower's individual circumstances and loan characteristics. It is disbursed to the homeowner when the sale is completed."
The key to a successful short sale, just like modifications, is the timely collection of financial documents. Regulators helped move the process along with guideline changes to programs like the Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives initiative, which lessened the amount of documents required. "It took us about 30 days to collect documentation in 2009 to now less than 10 days," Rand said. "A lot of the time, for seriously delinquent loans, all we need is just a letter of authorization from the homeowner." David Sunlin, the operations executive for short sales at Bank of America (BOA) was on the same panel as Rand. He said the entire industry is becoming more proactive. BOA completed more short sales than REO every month for the last year and a half. The short sale department at BOA grew from 150 people to now over 3,000. Each employee handles roughly 75 cases. "We're past the point where we're bumbling around losing files," Sunlin said.
Rand said the big shift began in 2009 as the Treasury Department was putting together plans for the HAFA, which would launch in April 2010. "In 2009, we started a proactive approach, reaching through MLS services and reaching out to real estate agents and customers with underwater mortgages, distressed loans," Rand said. "We're not going to turn anybody away if the short sale meets the net requirement we're looking for."
Not only are the timelines shrinking to complete these deals, but the incentives paid to qualifying borrowers – again only on loans owned by Citi – increased in recent years as well. In early 2009, Citi offered an average $1,500 to qualifying borrowers. That went up to between $3,000 and $5,000 in 2010 and finally up to an average $12,000 so far in 2011, Rand said. "Incentives will be offered to customers experiencing financial hardship who need funds to proceed with the short sale," a Citi spokesman said. "The amount, which is agreed upon up front, varies according to the borrower's individual circumstances and loan characteristics. It is disbursed to the homeowner when the sale is completed."
The key to a successful short sale, just like modifications, is the timely collection of financial documents. Regulators helped move the process along with guideline changes to programs like the Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives initiative, which lessened the amount of documents required. "It took us about 30 days to collect documentation in 2009 to now less than 10 days," Rand said. "A lot of the time, for seriously delinquent loans, all we need is just a letter of authorization from the homeowner." David Sunlin, the operations executive for short sales at Bank of America (BOA) was on the same panel as Rand. He said the entire industry is becoming more proactive. BOA completed more short sales than REO every month for the last year and a half. The short sale department at BOA grew from 150 people to now over 3,000. Each employee handles roughly 75 cases. "We're past the point where we're bumbling around losing files," Sunlin said.
Rand said the big shift began in 2009 as the Treasury Department was putting together plans for the HAFA, which would launch in April 2010. "In 2009, we started a proactive approach, reaching through MLS services and reaching out to real estate agents and customers with underwater mortgages, distressed loans," Rand said. "We're not going to turn anybody away if the short sale meets the net requirement we're looking for."
Monday, June 20, 2011
hard to make a call on housing
[Friday's] report on consumer confidence, or the striking lack of it, is yet another sign that housing is going to be in a very sticky state for a while. It's hard to say whether housing is weighing on confidence or lack of confidence is weighing on housing; the answer lies somewhere in the middle. Next week is a big week for housing because we get the all-important readings on existing and new home sales for May. The pending home sales index, based on contracts signed, not closings, fell dramatically in April, and that has the housing prognosticators building another arc for the flood of bad news yet to come. Home builder sentiment fell in June, largely based on competition from distressed properties and high material costs, but you can bet the builders know we're in for some tough sales numbers in their market as well.
I know I've said this before, but here I go again: All real estate is local, but confidence is national. Potential summer buyers, who are historically few and far between, will be watching the national numbers, as they try to time the bottom of the market, which is of course impossible to do. You can't time the bottom of this market, because it will likely bounce along the bottom for several years. You also have no historical perspective because we've never seen a crash like this ever before. The two greatest factors that will keep us bouncing are the huge volume of distressed properties and uncertainty over the direction of new regulation in the mortgage market.
Regulators pushed back the deadline for a huge decision on risk retention for the mortgage market, and that has talk abounding that the entire proposal is going back to the drawing board. This is the proposal that would require, among many other things, a 20% down payment on loans for them to be exempt from risk retention. Without that, banks would have to hold 5% risk on their books when securitizing the loan.
All this uncertainty in the mortgage market, piled on top of all kinds of new regulations now going into action, just makes lending more expensive for the banks and borrowing more expensive for consumers. It's no surprise that confidence in housing is so low, despite the fact that now may in fact be one of the best times to get into the housing market. You just have to have a long view, which foreign buyers apparently have but Americans sorely lack.
I know I've said this before, but here I go again: All real estate is local, but confidence is national. Potential summer buyers, who are historically few and far between, will be watching the national numbers, as they try to time the bottom of the market, which is of course impossible to do. You can't time the bottom of this market, because it will likely bounce along the bottom for several years. You also have no historical perspective because we've never seen a crash like this ever before. The two greatest factors that will keep us bouncing are the huge volume of distressed properties and uncertainty over the direction of new regulation in the mortgage market.
Regulators pushed back the deadline for a huge decision on risk retention for the mortgage market, and that has talk abounding that the entire proposal is going back to the drawing board. This is the proposal that would require, among many other things, a 20% down payment on loans for them to be exempt from risk retention. Without that, banks would have to hold 5% risk on their books when securitizing the loan.
All this uncertainty in the mortgage market, piled on top of all kinds of new regulations now going into action, just makes lending more expensive for the banks and borrowing more expensive for consumers. It's no surprise that confidence in housing is so low, despite the fact that now may in fact be one of the best times to get into the housing market. You just have to have a long view, which foreign buyers apparently have but Americans sorely lack.
Wednesday, June 15, 2011
Retail sales down
Total retail sales slipped 0.2% last month, the Commerce
Department reported. The decline broke a winning streak of
consecutive monthly gains going back to June 2010. But from a
year ago, sales were up 8%. Economists had expected a 0.7% drop,
according to consensus estimates from Briefing.com. Declines
were led by a 2.9% slide in sales at motor vehicle and parts
dealers. This drop overshadowed stronger sales at building
material companies and restaurants, which came in the face of
higher gas prices last month. Sales excluding autos and auto
parts were 0.3% higher, beating forecasts for a 0.2% rise.
"The numbers we've been seeing from retailers lately have been
running better than expected, and the number today excluding
autos is better than expected," said Ken Perkins, an analyst at
Retail Metrics. "But there's still definitely a soft patch
unfolding here in terms of economic growth, which I think was
reflected in sales of autos." Perkins said the widespread supply
chain disruptions sparked by the earthquake in Japan were mainly
to blame for the big decline in auto sales last month. But even
taking auto sales out of the mix, many big areas like consumer
electronics and appliances were disappointing, partly due to high
gas prices.
Department reported. The decline broke a winning streak of
consecutive monthly gains going back to June 2010. But from a
year ago, sales were up 8%. Economists had expected a 0.7% drop,
according to consensus estimates from Briefing.com. Declines
were led by a 2.9% slide in sales at motor vehicle and parts
dealers. This drop overshadowed stronger sales at building
material companies and restaurants, which came in the face of
higher gas prices last month. Sales excluding autos and auto
parts were 0.3% higher, beating forecasts for a 0.2% rise.
"The numbers we've been seeing from retailers lately have been
running better than expected, and the number today excluding
autos is better than expected," said Ken Perkins, an analyst at
Retail Metrics. "But there's still definitely a soft patch
unfolding here in terms of economic growth, which I think was
reflected in sales of autos." Perkins said the widespread supply
chain disruptions sparked by the earthquake in Japan were mainly
to blame for the big decline in auto sales last month. But even
taking auto sales out of the mix, many big areas like consumer
electronics and appliances were disappointing, partly due to high
gas prices.
Tuesday, June 14, 2011
Fannie Freddie are better, but still cash drains
Conservatorship has been good for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, but
the companies continue to drain federal resources away from other
government operations, according to the regulator of the mortgage
giants. In its third annual letter to Congress, the Federal
Housing Finance Agency (FHFA ) said stronger loan underwriting
standards enabled the companies to narrow losses in 2010 to $28
billion from $93.6 billion a year earlier. The companies have
received more than $160 billion funding from the Treasury
Department the past few years. "Since being placed under
conservatorship in 2008, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac remain
critical supervisory concerns," said Edward DeMarco, acting
director of the FHFA. This is a "result of continuing credit
losses in 2010 from loans originated during 2005 through 2007 as
well as forecasted losses from loans originated during that
time." Still, DeMarco said governmental control allowed the
companies to "accomplish their statutory mission of facilitating
stability and liquidity for single-family and multifamily housing
finance."
The FHFA said Fannie and Freddie remain plagued by "credit risk,
operational risk, modeling risks and retention of qualified
leadership and personnel." The companies hold a 60% share of
single-family loan production. As conservator, the FHFA is
tasked with minimizing credit losses at the GSEs, and DeMarco
said more stringent underwriting standards and a stronger price
structure have helped. "Although past business decisions leading
to these losses cannot be undone, each enterprise, under the
oversight and guidance of FHFA as conservator and regulator, has
improved underwriting standards for loan purchases in the past
two years.," he said. "Another way FHFA minimized losses was to
require the enterprises to enforce existing contractual
representation and warranty loan repurchase agreements with
lenders." The FHFA also oversees the dozen Federal Home Loan
Banks and said all 12 reported profits in 2010. Loans to the
banks dropped to $479 billion last year from $631 billion at the
end 2009. The regulator said the banks' financial condition and
performance stabilized in 2010, but several continue "to be
negatively affected by their exposure to private-label
mortgage-backed securities."
the companies continue to drain federal resources away from other
government operations, according to the regulator of the mortgage
giants. In its third annual letter to Congress, the Federal
Housing Finance Agency (FHFA ) said stronger loan underwriting
standards enabled the companies to narrow losses in 2010 to $28
billion from $93.6 billion a year earlier. The companies have
received more than $160 billion funding from the Treasury
Department the past few years. "Since being placed under
conservatorship in 2008, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac remain
critical supervisory concerns," said Edward DeMarco, acting
director of the FHFA. This is a "result of continuing credit
losses in 2010 from loans originated during 2005 through 2007 as
well as forecasted losses from loans originated during that
time." Still, DeMarco said governmental control allowed the
companies to "accomplish their statutory mission of facilitating
stability and liquidity for single-family and multifamily housing
finance."
The FHFA said Fannie and Freddie remain plagued by "credit risk,
operational risk, modeling risks and retention of qualified
leadership and personnel." The companies hold a 60% share of
single-family loan production. As conservator, the FHFA is
tasked with minimizing credit losses at the GSEs, and DeMarco
said more stringent underwriting standards and a stronger price
structure have helped. "Although past business decisions leading
to these losses cannot be undone, each enterprise, under the
oversight and guidance of FHFA as conservator and regulator, has
improved underwriting standards for loan purchases in the past
two years.," he said. "Another way FHFA minimized losses was to
require the enterprises to enforce existing contractual
representation and warranty loan repurchase agreements with
lenders." The FHFA also oversees the dozen Federal Home Loan
Banks and said all 12 reported profits in 2010. Loans to the
banks dropped to $479 billion last year from $631 billion at the
end 2009. The regulator said the banks' financial condition and
performance stabilized in 2010, but several continue "to be
negatively affected by their exposure to private-label
mortgage-backed securities."
Tuesday, March 8, 2011
Mini-budget cuts signed
President Obama signed a budget cutting stop-gap spending bill yesterday after it was passed by the Senate by 91 votes. The bill terminates eight government programs, for savings of $1.24 billion, while an additional $2.7 billion in earmarks are eliminated. On the chopping block were eight programs involving broadband access in rural communities, education, highway construction and the Smithsonian Institution. All eight had been identified by both parties as wasteful and unnecessary. The programs that were cut fall into two umbrella categories: ineffective or duplicative. The bill eliminated $75 million in election assistance grants, which are funds allocated to help states upgrade voting machines and voter rolls.
Since 2002, Washington has pumped $3 billion into the program, but states have only found ways to spend $2 billion. And that rural broadband program? The Agriculture Department's inspector general uncovered "abuses and inconsistencies" as well as "a lack of focus on the rural communities it was intended to serve." The four education programs total $468 million, and are being eliminated for being outdated, ineffective or duplicative. The highway funds, $650 million in total, were originally budgeted as a one-time payment for 2010 but never cut. The remaining $2.7 billion in cuts cover almost 50 different earmark programs that will no longer be funded because House Republicans have instituted a new rule banning that type of spending.
Since 2002, Washington has pumped $3 billion into the program, but states have only found ways to spend $2 billion. And that rural broadband program? The Agriculture Department's inspector general uncovered "abuses and inconsistencies" as well as "a lack of focus on the rural communities it was intended to serve." The four education programs total $468 million, and are being eliminated for being outdated, ineffective or duplicative. The highway funds, $650 million in total, were originally budgeted as a one-time payment for 2010 but never cut. The remaining $2.7 billion in cuts cover almost 50 different earmark programs that will no longer be funded because House Republicans have instituted a new rule banning that type of spending.
Thursday, February 24, 2011
Create A Note -- And Sell It!
Credit of the Property Buyer(s)
The better it is, the more valuable the carryback note is going to be to a prospective note buyer. Don't know what the property buyer's credit is? Then don't bet the barn on a great note
sale, because the note buyer will want to know the buyer's credit. And if the property buyers are husband and wife, or more than one buyer, demand credit and financial statements from everyone. These days it's common for the wife to earn more than the husband, and you want to know all about both. If the noteholder is not equipped to obtain a credit report, ask your bank or local credit agency. They'll help you get it.
Sales Price of the Property
This should be at or LESS than the provable/establishable value of the property. Is it more than the actual value of the property? Then expect your note to sell for LESS than you want,
because the experienced note buyer wants the property buyer to have some equity in the property so the property buyer isn't likely to default.
Provable Value of the Property
Don't know? And the property buyer hasn't demanded an appraisal of any kind? Great, if the property is selling for all cash -- but if you're taking back a note and you want to sell that
note simultaneously, be aware that the note buyer is going to want to know the property value. And many problems are created if your note sale is AFTER the property sale, and the property is now inaccessible to an appraiser.
Down Payment
Zero down deals are done all the time but are not popular with note buyers. They want to know that the buyer has immediate equity in the property, something to protect, so the less the down payment you're taking, the less the cash you're going to be selling your note for.
Terms Of The Carry-Back Note
A. Interest Rate: The higher the better, but not so high as to gamble with usury law violations. Many states have usury laws that govern personal, consumer loans (e.g. Washington State has a 12% "do not exceed" rate); however, not all states have usury laws. So check before you structure your deal. Don't know what a good interest rate is for your deal? Ask a mortgage person or residential agent. They live with this on a daily basis and they'll give you some good advice. The lower the rate, the poorer the deal for the note buyer, and he'll just make it up by charging you more of a discount when he buys it.
B. Length of Note: Again, ask what is normal currently. Probably the typical length is 5 years, or maybe 10 to 25 years but with 3 to 5 year balloon. This is important to the note buyer, because he doesn't want to wait forever to get repaid. But not too short...I've seen notes with 6-12 months go begging for a buyer because the note buyers feared the property buyer couldn't pay it off in that time period.
C. Balloon: Again, the note buyer wants to have this on his books for no more than 3-5 years, so even if the new note has a 20-25 year amortization period, to keep the monthly payments
within reason, the note should have a 5 or so year balloon for full payoff in that time.
D. Loan-To-Value Ratio (LTV): Total loan-to-value, of both the first and new second, must be considered, and typically not to exceed 75% of provable value, for the buyer of the new
second to be seriously interested. Also, many second buyers want the ratio of the first to the second to be no more than 4:1. Translation: they don't want a little second that's behind a huge first, which might have a much bigger RATIO than 4:1. (e.g. $100,000 first and $10,000 second would be 10:1; but $30,000 first and $10,000 second would be 3:1). Do some shopping and learn what note buyers would accept before you structure your property sale. Of all the elements listed here, this is probably the one most ignored by note buyers. If they like everything else, they might not care at all about the LTV.
E. Will the Lender on the First Permit the Second You're Willing to Carry? Frequently, the lender on a new institutional loan inserts a clause to the effect that it is permitting NO carryback loan by the seller, and you'd better hammer this out up-front if you plan to carry a second and are expecting to sell it.
F. Security For Your Second: Normally it should be a recordable deed of trust, or mortgage in non-deed of trust states, drafted to comply with laws of property situs (where it's at!) to secure payment of the second. And to be recordable in deed records it should normally be signed and acknowledged by a notary. Further, it should normally have provisions to the effect that any default on buyer's part in payment of his first note is also a default in the carryback second. And, although frequently omitted, it should contain explicit, written permission for its holder to verify the current status of the first.
G. Buyer's Identity: If the payors are husband and wife, make sure they ARE husband and wife and have both executed the note and deed of trust individually. Don't permit one to sign for both. This is not permissible or binding on the spouse in every state, and you don't even know for sure they're still married. If you're selling to a corporation or LLC, make sure you're also getting the buyers on the note and deed of trust INDIVIDUALLY. I see too many notes where ONLY the corp/LLC is on there, and the people signing, sign ONLY as corporate officers -- this doesn't bind them individually and your note isn't going to sell.
One element that has not been addressed in this article is "seasoning," or aging. While there is no doubt that a note that has a few years successful seasoning is a more valuable note, of course this element is completely absent in a "simultaneous" sale, where the note is purchased as the property sale is closed.
The better it is, the more valuable the carryback note is going to be to a prospective note buyer. Don't know what the property buyer's credit is? Then don't bet the barn on a great note
sale, because the note buyer will want to know the buyer's credit. And if the property buyers are husband and wife, or more than one buyer, demand credit and financial statements from everyone. These days it's common for the wife to earn more than the husband, and you want to know all about both. If the noteholder is not equipped to obtain a credit report, ask your bank or local credit agency. They'll help you get it.
Sales Price of the Property
This should be at or LESS than the provable/establishable value of the property. Is it more than the actual value of the property? Then expect your note to sell for LESS than you want,
because the experienced note buyer wants the property buyer to have some equity in the property so the property buyer isn't likely to default.
Provable Value of the Property
Don't know? And the property buyer hasn't demanded an appraisal of any kind? Great, if the property is selling for all cash -- but if you're taking back a note and you want to sell that
note simultaneously, be aware that the note buyer is going to want to know the property value. And many problems are created if your note sale is AFTER the property sale, and the property is now inaccessible to an appraiser.
Down Payment
Zero down deals are done all the time but are not popular with note buyers. They want to know that the buyer has immediate equity in the property, something to protect, so the less the down payment you're taking, the less the cash you're going to be selling your note for.
Terms Of The Carry-Back Note
A. Interest Rate: The higher the better, but not so high as to gamble with usury law violations. Many states have usury laws that govern personal, consumer loans (e.g. Washington State has a 12% "do not exceed" rate); however, not all states have usury laws. So check before you structure your deal. Don't know what a good interest rate is for your deal? Ask a mortgage person or residential agent. They live with this on a daily basis and they'll give you some good advice. The lower the rate, the poorer the deal for the note buyer, and he'll just make it up by charging you more of a discount when he buys it.
B. Length of Note: Again, ask what is normal currently. Probably the typical length is 5 years, or maybe 10 to 25 years but with 3 to 5 year balloon. This is important to the note buyer, because he doesn't want to wait forever to get repaid. But not too short...I've seen notes with 6-12 months go begging for a buyer because the note buyers feared the property buyer couldn't pay it off in that time period.
C. Balloon: Again, the note buyer wants to have this on his books for no more than 3-5 years, so even if the new note has a 20-25 year amortization period, to keep the monthly payments
within reason, the note should have a 5 or so year balloon for full payoff in that time.
D. Loan-To-Value Ratio (LTV): Total loan-to-value, of both the first and new second, must be considered, and typically not to exceed 75% of provable value, for the buyer of the new
second to be seriously interested. Also, many second buyers want the ratio of the first to the second to be no more than 4:1. Translation: they don't want a little second that's behind a huge first, which might have a much bigger RATIO than 4:1. (e.g. $100,000 first and $10,000 second would be 10:1; but $30,000 first and $10,000 second would be 3:1). Do some shopping and learn what note buyers would accept before you structure your property sale. Of all the elements listed here, this is probably the one most ignored by note buyers. If they like everything else, they might not care at all about the LTV.
E. Will the Lender on the First Permit the Second You're Willing to Carry? Frequently, the lender on a new institutional loan inserts a clause to the effect that it is permitting NO carryback loan by the seller, and you'd better hammer this out up-front if you plan to carry a second and are expecting to sell it.
F. Security For Your Second: Normally it should be a recordable deed of trust, or mortgage in non-deed of trust states, drafted to comply with laws of property situs (where it's at!) to secure payment of the second. And to be recordable in deed records it should normally be signed and acknowledged by a notary. Further, it should normally have provisions to the effect that any default on buyer's part in payment of his first note is also a default in the carryback second. And, although frequently omitted, it should contain explicit, written permission for its holder to verify the current status of the first.
G. Buyer's Identity: If the payors are husband and wife, make sure they ARE husband and wife and have both executed the note and deed of trust individually. Don't permit one to sign for both. This is not permissible or binding on the spouse in every state, and you don't even know for sure they're still married. If you're selling to a corporation or LLC, make sure you're also getting the buyers on the note and deed of trust INDIVIDUALLY. I see too many notes where ONLY the corp/LLC is on there, and the people signing, sign ONLY as corporate officers -- this doesn't bind them individually and your note isn't going to sell.
One element that has not been addressed in this article is "seasoning," or aging. While there is no doubt that a note that has a few years successful seasoning is a more valuable note, of course this element is completely absent in a "simultaneous" sale, where the note is purchased as the property sale is closed.
Thursday, February 17, 2011
Mortgage servicing crackdown expected
U.S. banking regulators are close to finalizing new national guidelines that will impact mortgage servicing shops after an interagency investigation revealed "significant weaknesses in mortgage servicing related to foreclosure oversight and operations," said John Walsh, the Acting Comptroller of the Currency, in prepared statements to be delivered before a Senate Banking panel today. "In general, the examinations found critical deficiencies and shortcomings in foreclosure governance processes, foreclosure document preparation processes, and oversight and monitoring of third-party law firms and vendors," Walsh said.
"These deficiencies have resulted in violations of state and local foreclosure laws, regulations, or rules and have had an adverse affect on the functioning of the mortgage markets and the U.S. economy as a whole." Walsh said even though the process of outlining new guidelines for servicers is at its early stage, regulators intend to address some of the pressing issues they discovered while investigating the servicing process — namely a lack of national standards for the foreclosure process and borrower confusion over whom to contact in foreclosure cases due to uncertain protocols.
Walsh's report on the investigation of loan servicing firms comes on the heels of a major announcement from the Mortgage Electronic Registration System, or MERS. MERS, which is an electronic registry of mortgage records, informed members late Wednesday that they are now prohibited from foreclosing on residential loans using the MERS name. MERS has long been the target of foreclosure defense attorneys and consumer advocates for creating a foreclosure process that fails to create transparent oversight and protocols.
Walsh said as part of their comprehensive examination of servicing shops, regulators examined Lender Processing Services Inc. (LPS), MERSCORP, the parent company of MERS, and MERS itself. After reviewing the servicing shops and examining bank self assessments, as well as 2,800 foreclosure cases, Walsh said investigators concluded that there were "significant weaknesses in mortgage servicing related to foreclosure oversight and operations." He said regulators have yet to finalize their proposed guidelines, but that will be the next step in the process.
"These deficiencies have resulted in violations of state and local foreclosure laws, regulations, or rules and have had an adverse affect on the functioning of the mortgage markets and the U.S. economy as a whole." Walsh said even though the process of outlining new guidelines for servicers is at its early stage, regulators intend to address some of the pressing issues they discovered while investigating the servicing process — namely a lack of national standards for the foreclosure process and borrower confusion over whom to contact in foreclosure cases due to uncertain protocols.
Walsh's report on the investigation of loan servicing firms comes on the heels of a major announcement from the Mortgage Electronic Registration System, or MERS. MERS, which is an electronic registry of mortgage records, informed members late Wednesday that they are now prohibited from foreclosing on residential loans using the MERS name. MERS has long been the target of foreclosure defense attorneys and consumer advocates for creating a foreclosure process that fails to create transparent oversight and protocols.
Walsh said as part of their comprehensive examination of servicing shops, regulators examined Lender Processing Services Inc. (LPS), MERSCORP, the parent company of MERS, and MERS itself. After reviewing the servicing shops and examining bank self assessments, as well as 2,800 foreclosure cases, Walsh said investigators concluded that there were "significant weaknesses in mortgage servicing related to foreclosure oversight and operations." He said regulators have yet to finalize their proposed guidelines, but that will be the next step in the process.
Wednesday, February 16, 2011
President tries to curb mortgage interest rate deduction
President tries to curb mortgage interest rate deduction
The president proposed in his budget to curtail high-income earners' tax deduction for mortgage interest payments and charitable contributions. Under his proposal, taxpayers in the 33% and 35% tax brackets would only be able to deduct their contributions and mortgage interest payments at the 28% rate. It would affect those with taxable income of $250,000 and up and bring in $321 billion over 10 years, according to the White House. The Obama administration, as well as several tax and deficit commissions, have called for limiting or eliminating the deductions in the past. But the proposals have gone nowhere and the same outcome is expected this year. Still, the real estate industry and non-profit sector are not taking any chances. They are making it clear to both Congress and the White House that they strongly oppose any limits to the deductions.
The industry is concerned that capping the deduction will hurt the housing market, which continues to stumble. The tax break makes homeownership more affordable, they argue. This is the second time in recent months that the Obama administration has recommended curtailing the deduction, which costs the Treasury Department an estimated $131 billion a year. In December, a presidential debt panel recommended turning the itemized deduction in to a 12% non-refundable tax credit available to everyone. It would also cut the size of eligible mortgages in half to up to $500,000. "NAR will remain vigilant in opposing any plan that modifies or excludes the deductibility of mortgage interest," National Association of Realtors President Ron Phipps said at the time.
The president proposed in his budget to curtail high-income earners' tax deduction for mortgage interest payments and charitable contributions. Under his proposal, taxpayers in the 33% and 35% tax brackets would only be able to deduct their contributions and mortgage interest payments at the 28% rate. It would affect those with taxable income of $250,000 and up and bring in $321 billion over 10 years, according to the White House. The Obama administration, as well as several tax and deficit commissions, have called for limiting or eliminating the deductions in the past. But the proposals have gone nowhere and the same outcome is expected this year. Still, the real estate industry and non-profit sector are not taking any chances. They are making it clear to both Congress and the White House that they strongly oppose any limits to the deductions.
The industry is concerned that capping the deduction will hurt the housing market, which continues to stumble. The tax break makes homeownership more affordable, they argue. This is the second time in recent months that the Obama administration has recommended curtailing the deduction, which costs the Treasury Department an estimated $131 billion a year. In December, a presidential debt panel recommended turning the itemized deduction in to a 12% non-refundable tax credit available to everyone. It would also cut the size of eligible mortgages in half to up to $500,000. "NAR will remain vigilant in opposing any plan that modifies or excludes the deductibility of mortgage interest," National Association of Realtors President Ron Phipps said at the time.
Friday, February 11, 2011
Foreclosures falling - not
The number of homes receiving foreclosure filings, default notices, auctions, and repossessions, fell 17% in January compared to a year earlier, RealtyTrac reported today. But that's still 261,333 properties and a 1% increase compared to December. Even with the slowdown, more than 78,000 borrowers lost their homes in January, easing off the record 102,000 that was reached last September. Besides, it's less a sign of a robust housing recovery and more a sign that lenders have become bogged down in reviewing procedures, resubmitting paperwork and formulating legal arguments related to accusations of improper foreclosure processing.
"We expect a spike in the first quarter," said Rick Sharga, a RealtyTrac spokesman. "If we don't get that, it could mean that the foreclosures are being pushed back even more and that the time needed for recovery will be prolonged." There was a bit of a shakeup among the individual states at the top of RealtyTrac's hardest-hit states. Florida, which had been outpacing all others for years, fell to ninth place in January, with a rate of one in ever 409 homes receiving a filing. Year-over-year, filings are off by 54% in the Sunshine State. Now, the seven states with the highest rate of foreclosure filings in January were all in non-judicial states, where foreclosure auctions can be scheduled and homes repossessed without any court hearing. Nevada led the states for the 49th consecutive month; Arizona was second and California third. Idaho and Utah filled out the top five worst-hit states. Among metro areas of more than 200,000 residents, Las Vegas had, as usual, the highest
foreclosure rate.
"We expect a spike in the first quarter," said Rick Sharga, a RealtyTrac spokesman. "If we don't get that, it could mean that the foreclosures are being pushed back even more and that the time needed for recovery will be prolonged." There was a bit of a shakeup among the individual states at the top of RealtyTrac's hardest-hit states. Florida, which had been outpacing all others for years, fell to ninth place in January, with a rate of one in ever 409 homes receiving a filing. Year-over-year, filings are off by 54% in the Sunshine State. Now, the seven states with the highest rate of foreclosure filings in January were all in non-judicial states, where foreclosure auctions can be scheduled and homes repossessed without any court hearing. Nevada led the states for the 49th consecutive month; Arizona was second and California third. Idaho and Utah filled out the top five worst-hit states. Among metro areas of more than 200,000 residents, Las Vegas had, as usual, the highest
foreclosure rate.
Tuesday, February 8, 2011
GOP calls for end to HAMP
House Republicans introduced a bill this week that would repeal the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP). The bill was introduced by Reps. Jim Jordan (R-Ohio), Darrell Issa (R-Calif.) and Patrick McHenry (R-N.C.), who cited yet another report from government watchdogs about the program’s underwhelming performance. The Treasury Department introduced HAMP in March 2009 allocating nearly $50 billion in incentive payments to servicers, borrowers and investors for modifying mortgages on the verge of foreclosure. Through December, servicers have modified more than 579,000 loans, well short of the 3 million to 4 million the Obama administration targeted. In December, the Congressional Oversight Panel estimated the program ultimately will reach between 700,000 and 800,000 borrowers.
If the bill passes, the Treasury will be unable to provide assistance under HAMP, which was authorized under the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008. The bill also would terminate all contracts between the servicers and the Treasury. “HAMP is a colossal failure,” Jordan, co-sponsor of the bill and chair of the oversight subcommittee on Regulatory Affairs, Stimulus Oversight and Government Spending said. “In many cases, it has hurt the very people it promised to help. It’s one more example of why government interference in the private sector doesn’t work and that’s why it should be repealed.”
If the bill passes, the Treasury will be unable to provide assistance under HAMP, which was authorized under the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008. The bill also would terminate all contracts between the servicers and the Treasury. “HAMP is a colossal failure,” Jordan, co-sponsor of the bill and chair of the oversight subcommittee on Regulatory Affairs, Stimulus Oversight and Government Spending said. “In many cases, it has hurt the very people it promised to help. It’s one more example of why government interference in the private sector doesn’t work and that’s why it should be repealed.”
Monday, February 7, 2011
Bank of America splits mortgage department
Bank of America splits mortgage department
Bank of America (BOA) created a separate mortgage servicing unit that will handle loans in default, while performing ones will stay in the bank's home loan division, the company said Friday. Regulators, lawmakers consumer advocates and even some players within the industry have been calling for mortgage servicing companies to divide their departments into performing and nonperforming sections as they work toward a new national servicing standard due out in 2012, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency. BOA's announcement could be the first step in that process. Proponents of a new system have also called on servicers to provide a single point of contact at the bank and develop new servicing fees where companies are paid more for the extra work required in working out delinquent loans.
The bank appointed Terry Laughlin as the head of the "Legacy Asset Servicing" unit. In this role, Laughlin will oversee the company's mortgage modification and foreclosure programs. Barbara Desoer will continue to manage the company's home loan division, which will service performing loans and hold the bank's origination department, which wrote $306 billion in new loans during 2010. Laughlin will also be in charge of sorting out the bank's mortgage representation and warranties repurchase claims. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and private investors have put major lenders under pressure to buy back defaulted loans they say were not originated to standard. BOA settled with the GSEs late in December to pay $3 billion for their claims. "This alignment allows two strong executives and their teams to continue to lead the strongest home loans business in the industry, while providing greater focus on resolving legacy mortgage issues," BofA CEO Brian Moynihan said. "We believe this will
best serve customers — both those seeking homeownership and those who face mortgage challenges — as well as our shareholders and the communities we serve."
In 2010, BOA completed 285,000 modifications through both its private programs and the government's Home Affordable Modification program. It has boosted its default servicing staff to 30,000, and it said it will hold 400 events this year to put borrowers in touch with those employees.
MBA - 2010 ranking of servicers
The Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) year-end ranking of commercial and multifamily mortgage servicers as of the end of December 31, 2010 was released yesterday. On top of the list of firms is Wells Fargo with $451.1 billion in US master and primary servicing, followed by PNC Real Estate/Midland Loan Services with $337.4 billion, Berkadia Commercial Mortgage with $194.9 billion, Bank of America Merrill Lynch with $126.6 billion, and KeyBank Real Estate Capital with $118.9 billion. Specific breakouts in the report include:
- Total US Master and Primary Servicing Volume
- US Commercial Mortgage-backed Securities (CMBS), Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs) and Other Asset-Backed Securities (ABS) Master and Primary Servicing Volume
- US Commercial Banks and Savings Institution Volume
- US Credit Company, Pension Funds, REITs, and Investment Funds Volume
- Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Servicing Volume
- Federal Housing Administration (FHA) Servicing Volume
- US Life Company Servicing Volume
- US Warehouse Volume
- US Other Investor Volume
- US CMBS Named Special Servicing Volume
- Total Non-US Master and Primary Servicing Volume
A primary servicer is generally responsible for collecting loan payments from borrowers, performing property inspections and other property-related activities. A master servicer is typically responsible for collecting cash and data from primary servicers and then providing that cash and data, through trustees, to investors. Unless otherwise noted, MBA tabulations that combine different roles do not double-count loans for which a single servicer performs multiple roles.
Wells Fargo, PNC/Midland, Berkadia, Bank of America Merrill Lynch and KeyBank are the largest master and primary servicers of commercial/multifamily loans in US CMBS, CDO and other ABS; PNC/Midland, GEMSA Loan Services, Prudential Asset Resources, Northwestern Mutual, and Northmarq Capital are the largest servicers for life companies; PNC/Midland, Wells Fargo, Berkadia, Deutsche Bank Commercial Real Estate and Prudential Asset Resources are the largest Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac servicers. PNC/Midland ranks as the top master and primary servicer of commercial bank and savings institution loans; GEMSA the top credit company, pension funds, REITs, and investment funds servicer; PNC/Midland the top FHA and Ginnie Mae servicer; Wells Fargo the top for mortgages in warehouse facilities; and Berkadia the top for other investor type loans.
Bank of America (BOA) created a separate mortgage servicing unit that will handle loans in default, while performing ones will stay in the bank's home loan division, the company said Friday. Regulators, lawmakers consumer advocates and even some players within the industry have been calling for mortgage servicing companies to divide their departments into performing and nonperforming sections as they work toward a new national servicing standard due out in 2012, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency. BOA's announcement could be the first step in that process. Proponents of a new system have also called on servicers to provide a single point of contact at the bank and develop new servicing fees where companies are paid more for the extra work required in working out delinquent loans.
The bank appointed Terry Laughlin as the head of the "Legacy Asset Servicing" unit. In this role, Laughlin will oversee the company's mortgage modification and foreclosure programs. Barbara Desoer will continue to manage the company's home loan division, which will service performing loans and hold the bank's origination department, which wrote $306 billion in new loans during 2010. Laughlin will also be in charge of sorting out the bank's mortgage representation and warranties repurchase claims. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and private investors have put major lenders under pressure to buy back defaulted loans they say were not originated to standard. BOA settled with the GSEs late in December to pay $3 billion for their claims. "This alignment allows two strong executives and their teams to continue to lead the strongest home loans business in the industry, while providing greater focus on resolving legacy mortgage issues," BofA CEO Brian Moynihan said. "We believe this will
best serve customers — both those seeking homeownership and those who face mortgage challenges — as well as our shareholders and the communities we serve."
In 2010, BOA completed 285,000 modifications through both its private programs and the government's Home Affordable Modification program. It has boosted its default servicing staff to 30,000, and it said it will hold 400 events this year to put borrowers in touch with those employees.
MBA - 2010 ranking of servicers
The Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) year-end ranking of commercial and multifamily mortgage servicers as of the end of December 31, 2010 was released yesterday. On top of the list of firms is Wells Fargo with $451.1 billion in US master and primary servicing, followed by PNC Real Estate/Midland Loan Services with $337.4 billion, Berkadia Commercial Mortgage with $194.9 billion, Bank of America Merrill Lynch with $126.6 billion, and KeyBank Real Estate Capital with $118.9 billion. Specific breakouts in the report include:
- Total US Master and Primary Servicing Volume
- US Commercial Mortgage-backed Securities (CMBS), Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs) and Other Asset-Backed Securities (ABS) Master and Primary Servicing Volume
- US Commercial Banks and Savings Institution Volume
- US Credit Company, Pension Funds, REITs, and Investment Funds Volume
- Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Servicing Volume
- Federal Housing Administration (FHA) Servicing Volume
- US Life Company Servicing Volume
- US Warehouse Volume
- US Other Investor Volume
- US CMBS Named Special Servicing Volume
- Total Non-US Master and Primary Servicing Volume
A primary servicer is generally responsible for collecting loan payments from borrowers, performing property inspections and other property-related activities. A master servicer is typically responsible for collecting cash and data from primary servicers and then providing that cash and data, through trustees, to investors. Unless otherwise noted, MBA tabulations that combine different roles do not double-count loans for which a single servicer performs multiple roles.
Wells Fargo, PNC/Midland, Berkadia, Bank of America Merrill Lynch and KeyBank are the largest master and primary servicers of commercial/multifamily loans in US CMBS, CDO and other ABS; PNC/Midland, GEMSA Loan Services, Prudential Asset Resources, Northwestern Mutual, and Northmarq Capital are the largest servicers for life companies; PNC/Midland, Wells Fargo, Berkadia, Deutsche Bank Commercial Real Estate and Prudential Asset Resources are the largest Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac servicers. PNC/Midland ranks as the top master and primary servicer of commercial bank and savings institution loans; GEMSA the top credit company, pension funds, REITs, and investment funds servicer; PNC/Midland the top FHA and Ginnie Mae servicer; Wells Fargo the top for mortgages in warehouse facilities; and Berkadia the top for other investor type loans.
Tuesday, February 1, 2011
Year-end housing sales end in the black; month-to-month median price increases 6 percent
(January 13, 2011 – Orlando, FL) Members of the Orlando Regional REALTOR® Association closed just 1.74 percent fewer homes in December of this year (2,368) than last (2,410), keeping year-to-date Orlando area sales in the black at 19.57 percent above 2009.
“In the first half of the year, the extended $8,000 first-time homebuyer tax credit and expanded $6,500 tax credit for repeat buyers helped encourage sales,” reviews ORRA Chairman of the Board Mike McGraw, McGraw Real Estate Services, PL. “Orlando’s homebuyers in 2010 also benefited from historic affordability levels, record low mortgage rates, and an inventory chock full of moderately priced homes.”
The 8,363 sales under contract and awaiting closing at the end of December are 2.45 percent above December 2009, which recorded 8,163 pending sales. There were 8,998 pending sales in November 2010.
Newly filed contracts —like pending sales an indicator of future sales activity — reached 3,196 in December 2010, a 7.1 percent increase over the 2,984 newly filed contracts in December 2009.
The median sales price of all homes sold in the Orlando area increased to $106,000 in December from the $105,000 median price that had held steady since September. According to ORRA the current median price is 6.11 percent above than the $99,900 median price recorded in August 2010 (the year’s lowest) and is 11.67 percent below the median price of $120,000 recorded in December 2009.
The median price for “normal” existing homes – i.e., those that are neither a short sale nor a foreclosure – sold in December is $160,000. The median price for bank-owned sales is $75,000 and the median price for short sales is $100,000. The lower median prices of bank-owned and short sales, which accounted for 68.71 percent of all sales in December, exerts a downward influence on the overall median price ($106,000).
The Orlando affordability index decreased to 246.73 percent in December. (An affordability index of 99 percent means that buyers earning the state-reported median income are 1 percent short of the income necessary to purchase a median-priced home. Conversely, an affordability index that is over 100 means that median-income earners make more than is necessary to qualify for a median-priced home.) Buyers who earn the reported median income of $53,447 can qualify to purchase one of 11,729 homes in Orange and Seminole counties currently listed in the local multiple listing service for $261,532 or less.
First-time homebuyer affordability in December decreased to 175.45 percent. First-time buyers who earn the reported median income of $36,344 can qualify to purchase one of 8,450 homes in Orange and Seminole counties currently listed in the local multiple listing service for $158,083 or less.
Homes of all types spent an average of 96 days on the market before coming under contract in December 2010, and the average home sold for 94.40 percent of its listing price. In December 2009 those numbers were 89 and 93.95 percent, respectively. The area’s average interest rate increased in December to 4.92 percent.
Inventory
There are currently 14,993 homes available for purchase through the MLS. Inventory decreased by 199 homes (1.31 percent) from November 2010, which means that 199 more homes exited the market than entered the market. The December 2010 inventory level is 3.58 percent lower than it was in December 2009 (15,549). The current pace of sales translates into 6.33 months of supply; December 2009 recorded 6.45 months of supply.
There are 11,919 single-family homes currently listed in the MLS, a number that is 4.13 percent more than the 11,466 single-family homes listed in December of last year. Condos currently make up 1,814 offerings in the MLS, while duplexes/town homes/villas make up the remaining 1,260.
Condos and Town Homes/Duplexes/Villas
Sales of condos in the Orlando area increased by 7.74 percent in December 2010 when compared to December of 2009 and increased by 24.55 percent compared to November of 2010.
As we’ve seen all year long, the most (254) condos in a single price category that changed hands in December 2010 were yet again in the $1 - $50,000 price range. This year-long trend accounted for 54.32 percent of all condo sales in 2010.
Orlando homebuyers purchased 224 duplexes, town homes, and villas in December 2010, which is a 6.16 percent increase from December 2009 when 211 of these alternative housing types were purchased.
MSA Numbers
Sales of existing homes within the entire Orlando MSA (Lake, Orange, Osceola, and Seminole counties) in December were down by 2.05 percent when compared to December of last year. Throughout the MSA, 2,910 homes were sold in December 2010 compared with 2,971 in December 2009.
Each county’s December-to-December sales comparisons are as follows:
Lake: 5.51 percent below 2009 (360 homes sold in 2010 compared to 381 in 2009);
Orange: 5.21 percent below 2009 (1,527 homes sold in 2010 compared to 1,611 in 2009);
Osceola: 3.40 below 2009 (511 homes sold in 2010 compared to 511 in 2009); and
Seminole: 13.78 percent above 2009 (512 sold in 2010 compared to 450 in 2009).
2010 Year-end Recap
Sales in 2010 were up by 19.57 percent over 2009. A total of 28,602 homes were sold in 2010 compared to 23,921 the previous year.
From a year-long perspective, the 2010 cumulative median price fell 16.23 percent to $108,900 compared 2009’s $130,000.
Throughout 2010, the majority (10.25 percent) of single-family homes that changed hands each month were sold for less than $50,000. About 8 percent of all single-family home sales in 2009 were in the $50,000 or less price range.
Condo sales increased 49.34 percent in 2010, with 6,532 condos sold in all of 2010 compared to 4,374 sold in 2009 and 1,454 sold in 2008. An enormous majority (3,548 or 54.32 percent) of sold condos fell into the $50,000 or below category. For the entire year, duplex, townhome, and villa sales were up 28.52 percent.
By year’s end in 2010, 35,021 homes were sold in the Orlando MSA while 30,377 homes had been sold by year’s end in 2009 (a 15.29 percent increase).
Each county’s 2010 year-end sales comparisons are as follows:
Lake: 2.19 percent above 2009 (4,199 homes sold in 2010 compared to 4,109 in 2009);
Orange: 16.29 percent above 2009 (18,823 homes sold in 2010 compared to 16,186 in 2009);
Osceola: 11.13 percent above 2009 (6,311 homes sold in 2010 compared to 5,679 in 2009); and
Seminole: 29.18 percent above 2009 (5,688 sold in 2010 compared to 4,403 in 2009).
For detailed statistical reports, please visit www.orlrealtor.com and click on “Housing Statistics” on the top menu bar. This representation is based in whole or in part on data supplied by the Orlando Regional REALTOR® Association or its Multiple Listing Service (MLS).
“In the first half of the year, the extended $8,000 first-time homebuyer tax credit and expanded $6,500 tax credit for repeat buyers helped encourage sales,” reviews ORRA Chairman of the Board Mike McGraw, McGraw Real Estate Services, PL. “Orlando’s homebuyers in 2010 also benefited from historic affordability levels, record low mortgage rates, and an inventory chock full of moderately priced homes.”
The 8,363 sales under contract and awaiting closing at the end of December are 2.45 percent above December 2009, which recorded 8,163 pending sales. There were 8,998 pending sales in November 2010.
Newly filed contracts —like pending sales an indicator of future sales activity — reached 3,196 in December 2010, a 7.1 percent increase over the 2,984 newly filed contracts in December 2009.
The median sales price of all homes sold in the Orlando area increased to $106,000 in December from the $105,000 median price that had held steady since September. According to ORRA the current median price is 6.11 percent above than the $99,900 median price recorded in August 2010 (the year’s lowest) and is 11.67 percent below the median price of $120,000 recorded in December 2009.
The median price for “normal” existing homes – i.e., those that are neither a short sale nor a foreclosure – sold in December is $160,000. The median price for bank-owned sales is $75,000 and the median price for short sales is $100,000. The lower median prices of bank-owned and short sales, which accounted for 68.71 percent of all sales in December, exerts a downward influence on the overall median price ($106,000).
The Orlando affordability index decreased to 246.73 percent in December. (An affordability index of 99 percent means that buyers earning the state-reported median income are 1 percent short of the income necessary to purchase a median-priced home. Conversely, an affordability index that is over 100 means that median-income earners make more than is necessary to qualify for a median-priced home.) Buyers who earn the reported median income of $53,447 can qualify to purchase one of 11,729 homes in Orange and Seminole counties currently listed in the local multiple listing service for $261,532 or less.
First-time homebuyer affordability in December decreased to 175.45 percent. First-time buyers who earn the reported median income of $36,344 can qualify to purchase one of 8,450 homes in Orange and Seminole counties currently listed in the local multiple listing service for $158,083 or less.
Homes of all types spent an average of 96 days on the market before coming under contract in December 2010, and the average home sold for 94.40 percent of its listing price. In December 2009 those numbers were 89 and 93.95 percent, respectively. The area’s average interest rate increased in December to 4.92 percent.
Inventory
There are currently 14,993 homes available for purchase through the MLS. Inventory decreased by 199 homes (1.31 percent) from November 2010, which means that 199 more homes exited the market than entered the market. The December 2010 inventory level is 3.58 percent lower than it was in December 2009 (15,549). The current pace of sales translates into 6.33 months of supply; December 2009 recorded 6.45 months of supply.
There are 11,919 single-family homes currently listed in the MLS, a number that is 4.13 percent more than the 11,466 single-family homes listed in December of last year. Condos currently make up 1,814 offerings in the MLS, while duplexes/town homes/villas make up the remaining 1,260.
Condos and Town Homes/Duplexes/Villas
Sales of condos in the Orlando area increased by 7.74 percent in December 2010 when compared to December of 2009 and increased by 24.55 percent compared to November of 2010.
As we’ve seen all year long, the most (254) condos in a single price category that changed hands in December 2010 were yet again in the $1 - $50,000 price range. This year-long trend accounted for 54.32 percent of all condo sales in 2010.
Orlando homebuyers purchased 224 duplexes, town homes, and villas in December 2010, which is a 6.16 percent increase from December 2009 when 211 of these alternative housing types were purchased.
MSA Numbers
Sales of existing homes within the entire Orlando MSA (Lake, Orange, Osceola, and Seminole counties) in December were down by 2.05 percent when compared to December of last year. Throughout the MSA, 2,910 homes were sold in December 2010 compared with 2,971 in December 2009.
Each county’s December-to-December sales comparisons are as follows:
Lake: 5.51 percent below 2009 (360 homes sold in 2010 compared to 381 in 2009);
Orange: 5.21 percent below 2009 (1,527 homes sold in 2010 compared to 1,611 in 2009);
Osceola: 3.40 below 2009 (511 homes sold in 2010 compared to 511 in 2009); and
Seminole: 13.78 percent above 2009 (512 sold in 2010 compared to 450 in 2009).
2010 Year-end Recap
Sales in 2010 were up by 19.57 percent over 2009. A total of 28,602 homes were sold in 2010 compared to 23,921 the previous year.
From a year-long perspective, the 2010 cumulative median price fell 16.23 percent to $108,900 compared 2009’s $130,000.
Throughout 2010, the majority (10.25 percent) of single-family homes that changed hands each month were sold for less than $50,000. About 8 percent of all single-family home sales in 2009 were in the $50,000 or less price range.
Condo sales increased 49.34 percent in 2010, with 6,532 condos sold in all of 2010 compared to 4,374 sold in 2009 and 1,454 sold in 2008. An enormous majority (3,548 or 54.32 percent) of sold condos fell into the $50,000 or below category. For the entire year, duplex, townhome, and villa sales were up 28.52 percent.
By year’s end in 2010, 35,021 homes were sold in the Orlando MSA while 30,377 homes had been sold by year’s end in 2009 (a 15.29 percent increase).
Each county’s 2010 year-end sales comparisons are as follows:
Lake: 2.19 percent above 2009 (4,199 homes sold in 2010 compared to 4,109 in 2009);
Orange: 16.29 percent above 2009 (18,823 homes sold in 2010 compared to 16,186 in 2009);
Osceola: 11.13 percent above 2009 (6,311 homes sold in 2010 compared to 5,679 in 2009); and
Seminole: 29.18 percent above 2009 (5,688 sold in 2010 compared to 4,403 in 2009).
For detailed statistical reports, please visit www.orlrealtor.com and click on “Housing Statistics” on the top menu bar. This representation is based in whole or in part on data supplied by the Orlando Regional REALTOR® Association or its Multiple Listing Service (MLS).
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