The number of permits for future housing construction jumped to a
seasonally adjusted annual rate of 612,000 last month, up 8.7%
from the revised rate of 563,000 in April, the Commerce
Department said. It was the highest monthly rate since December
and was much higher than expected, with economists surveyed by
Briefing.com looking for a 548,000 permit rate. Permits for
single-family homes, viewed as a more stable indicator of new
homebuilding activity than permits for multi-family home
construction, ticked up 2.5% from April to a rate of 405,000.
Housing starts, the number of new homes being built, rose 3.5% in
May to an annual rate of 560,000 units from a revised 541,000 in
April, the Commerce Department said. Economists had expected an
annual rate of 540,000 units, according to consensus estimates
from Briefing.com. Construction of single-family homes rose 3.7%
to a rate of 419,000.
While permits are typically viewed as an indication of builders'
confidence in the housing market, the big jump in permits could
have had a lot to do with seasonality, even allowing for the
government's adjustment, said Doug Roberts, chief investment
strategist for Channel Capital Research. Roberts said that this
is the prime time of year to begin construction, given the better
weather. And given the flooding and bad weather in April, many
builders may have gotten off to a late start -- leading to a jump
in permits and housing starts last month. "These are the months
where the most construction occurs, so this increase could be
more of a seasonal blip," he said.
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